Like most centrist and independent voters, they see themselves as too
fiscally conservative for the Democrats and too socially liberal for
the Republicans.
"These three races are going to draw some interest from around the
country because of the fatigue with the two parties right now," Chafee,
a former Republican, told me. "People are so weary of the gridlock and
partisanship. It's counterproductive to moving the country forward in
our very, very challenging times."
"I am a fiscal conservative, there's no question about that -- and I am
a social liberal," said former Democrat Eliot Cutler, a long-time aide
to Maine Democrat Ed Muskie and an associate director of the Office of
Management and Budget under President Carter. He's now a business
executive. "The independents who are running in these three states are
all pragmatic, politically experienced problem solvers."
In Massachusetts, the incumbent State Treasurer Tim Cahill declared his
independence to run against current Democratic Gov. Deval Patrick and
centrist Republican Charlie Baker.
After Sen. Scott Brown's improbable special election victory this past
January, people woke up to the fact that the Bay State does not live up
to its liberal stereotype but instead is 51 percent independent.
"One-party rule just doesn't seem to be working anymore," says Cahill,
echoing a common belief of independents. "I would say 80 percent of the
elected officials in the Massachusetts Legislature are Democrat. ... It
pushes solutions really to the left too far. Washington has called for
more spending and bigger expansion of government than I've ever been
comfortable with and I think most people are comfortable with. So I
think folks are looking for check and balances."
Throughout the Northeast, Republican ranks were eviscerated during the
polarizing, conservative, play-to-the-base approach of the Bush years.
Today, there is not a single Republican member of the House of
Representatives left from New England, and independents are the de
facto opposition to Democrats. Lincoln Chafee was among the last of the
old-school liberal Republicans, typified by his father John Chafee, who
served in the U.S. Senate from 1976 to 1999.
"It broke my heart to see my Republican Party inherit a surplus in 2001
-- controlling the presidency, the House and the Senate -- and then
squander it," said Lincoln Chafee.
After losing a tough re-election in 2006, despite winning a primary
fight from the right, Chafee announced he would run for governor this
year as an independent. But can he connect with the Tea Party crowds?
"I could stand up in front of a Tea Party group and give a pretty
convincing message," he contends. "I voted against the big tax cuts
that favor the wealthy. I voted against the war, which cost a trillion
dollars. I voted against the prescription drug benefit that's costing
us $800 million. There's the deficit. ... I've got a message for those
folks if they're sincere about fiscal responsibility."
There is a precedent for independent governors.
During the 1990s, when anger at incumbents and deficit spending was
also at fever pitch, three independent governors were elected: Maine's
Angus King, Connecticut's Lowell Weicker and Minnesota's Jesse Ventura.
Then as now, the overarching message of these three successful
independents was freedom from special interests and the promise of
political reform.
The two-term Gov. King could have spoken for all of them when he said
"the two parties are largely controlled by special interests on the
extremes. ... Really passionate partisans usually have a stake in the
deal, public employee unions or business that are wrapped up in the
deal."
Interestingly, when you ask the three current independent candidates
why they didn't try to run as centrist Democrats, a core answer is in
the influence of unions on local Democrats.
"Our costs are skyrocketing," says Maine's Cutler, "and something is
desperately wrong when the state Democratic Party can't free itself of
both the dogma of the past and also its relationship with a very
powerful Maine Education Association. ... We are basically committing
generational suicide."
Rhode Island's Chafee agrees: "The Democrats here traditionally have been very, very closely aligned with the unions."
On a local level, balanced budgets and political independence are
increasingly blocked by the influence of powerful public sector unions.
It is an important local issue that is still gaining traction in
nationwide debates.
Running for office as an independent is an uphill road, without the
ready financing and institutional support available to party
candidates. But with the ranks of independent voters rocketing
nationwide, these three independent candidates have been competitive in
local polls, with the general elections still seven months away.
Now that a new USA Today/Gallup poll shows approval of both parties
near all-time lows, the time might just be right for a new generation
of independent reformers who put problem-solving ahead of partisanship.
The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of John Avlon.
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